The results of the past elections and the polls for the upcoming primaries and caucuses are pretty clear. Sanders has lost significant support from 2016.
In every single primary, caucus and/or poll Sanders has lost ground except for Louisiana 0, District of Columbia 0, Virgin Islands +11 and Puerto Rico +4. Even in the states he has won he has lost ground New Hampshire – 34, Nevada -1. In states that he won in 2020, he lost or is expected to lose ground such as Colorado -23, Minnesota -31, Oklahoma -26, Vermont -34, Idaho -36, Washington -39. His lack luster performance is losing.
Here are the results of the primaries/polls. He might win Indiana but other than that every remaining state is Biden’s. The numbers in red represents the difference from 2020 and 2016. 0’s are in green. An increase in his percentage from 2016 is in black.
| State | 2016 Results | 2020 Results | Difference |
| Feb | |||
| Iowa | 49 | 26 | -23 |
| New Hampshire | 60 | 26 | -34 |
| Nevada | 47 | 46 | -1 |
| South Carolina | 26 | 20 | -6 |
| Super Tuesday | |||
| Alabama | 19 | 17 | -2 |
| Arkansas | 30 | 22 | -8 |
| American Samoa | 25 | 11 | -14 |
| California | 46 | 33 | -13 |
| Colorado | 59 | 36 | -23 |
| Massachusetts | 48 | 26 | -22 |
| Minnesota | 61 | 30 | -31 |
| Oklahoma | 51 | 25 | -26 |
| Tennessee | 32 | 25 | -7 |
| Texas | 33 | 30 | -3 |
| Virginia | 35 | 23 | -12 |
| Vermont | 85 | 51 | -34 |
| Utah | 79 | 34 | -45 |
| Maine | 64 | 32 | -32 |
| March 10 | |||
| Idaho | 78 | 42 | -36 |
| Michigan | 49 | 38 | -11 |
| Mississipi | 16 | 15 | -1 |
| Missouri | 49 | 34 | -15 |
| North Dakota | 64 | 53 | -11 |
| Washington | 72 | 33 | -39 |
| Democrats Abroad | 68 | ||
| Northern Marianas | 65 | 28 | -37 |
| Late March | |||
| Florida | 33 | 22 | -11 |
| Arizona | 41 | 29 | -12 |
| Illinois | 48 | 35 | -13 |
| Georgia | 28 | 14 | -14 |
| Noth Carolina | 40 | 22 | -18 |
| Ohio | 43 | 31 | -12 |
| Alaska | 79 | 47 | -32 |
| Hawaii | 69 | 43 | -26 |
| April | |||
| Wisconsin | 56 | 34 | -22 |
| Wyoming | 55 | 40 | -15 |
| New York | 41 | 40 | -1 |
| Connecticut | 46 | 25 | -21 |
| Delaware | 39 | 22 | -17 |
| Maryland | 33 | 30 | -3 |
| Pennsylvania | 43 | 31 | -12 |
| Rhode Island | 54 | 44 | -10 |
| Louisiana | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| May | |||
| Indiana | 52 | 50 | -2 |
| Guan | 40 | 37 | -3 |
| West Virgina | 46 | 38 | -8 |
| Kentucky | 46 | 35 | -11 |
| Oregon | 56 | 43 | -13 |
| Kansas | 67 | 37 | -30 |
| Nebraska | 57 | 43 | -14 |
| June | |||
| Virgin Islands | 12 | 23 | 11 |
| Puerto Rico | 37 | 41 | 4 |
| Montana | 51 | 39 | -12 |
| New Jersey | 36 | 34 | -2 |
| New Mexico | 48 | 40 | -8 |
| South Dakota | 49 | 38 | -11 |
| District of Columbia | 20 | 20 | 0 |
Bay Area Houston 